Crypto Market State Machine

Crypto Market State Machine (Bull-Bear State Machine)

Compresses complex market analysis into a data-driven four-quadrant state machine:
Each day you only need to input two types of data (trend structure + capital posture), and the system outputs which state the BTC market is currently in, then uses a validation layer to give a risk temperature and ETF acceleration hints.

⚠️ Disclaimer: This project is for research and educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice of any kind.

Vision

Replace emotional market judgment with a data-driven approach, helping investors clearly understand:

• Which phase of the bull/bear cycle are we in right now?
• Is capital on the offensive or on the defensive?
• Is the risk temperature too high?
• Is the ETF amplifying the trend?

Core Concept: Input → Four-Quadrant Output → Validation Layer (does not change state)

• Input A: Trend structure (MA50 / MA200) → outputs Trend = 趋势多 / 趋势空
• Input B: Capital posture (Stablecoin vs TOTAL) → outputs Funding = 资金进攻 / 资金防守
• Output: Four-quadrant state (2×2) → directly locates one of the 4 states -…